Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 95.071465 105.771531 116.673511 128.581841 141.193280 154.123072 168.352564
2025-03-02 78.324592 93.743485 110.105982 128.641585 148.938865 170.381247 194.638547
2025-03-09 68.445346 86.550323 106.346296 129.352748 155.121616 182.881846 214.839013
2025-03-16 59.560277 79.341170 101.577810 128.020178 158.225157 191.307819 229.946388
2025-03-23 54.140574 75.474369 100.033119 129.798234 164.343803 202.680378 247.961293
2025-03-30 49.803622 72.438792 99.070329 131.901971 170.540462 213.905404 265.615303
2025-04-06 44.581027 67.872798 95.916792 131.101952 173.096114 220.758016 278.124109
2025-04-13 39.072102 62.509148 91.431045 128.384360 173.122631 224.470080 286.842446
2025-04-20 37.315394 61.824637 92.591004 132.389454 181.032446 237.273210 305.998530
2025-04-27 35.072746 60.312776 92.569827 134.830149 186.982400 247.726478 322.396475
2025-05-04 31.730013 57.066422 90.142648 134.119785 188.991432 253.436532 333.183255
2025-05-11 28.551237 53.813066 87.520380 133.004380 190.375774 258.304665 342.901935
2025-05-18 26.370059 51.866081 86.557057 133.977656 194.353349 266.333589 356.461301
2025-05-25 23.966964 49.419719 84.797040 133.827078 196.867457 272.564273 367.873847
2025-06-01 22.089932 47.618447 83.806279 134.588790 200.455872 280.047538 380.749621
2025-06-08 19.693154 44.819747 81.288529 133.218715 201.257937 284.069186 389.423957
2025-06-15 18.469972 43.796112 81.204227 135.040585 206.089402 293.007080 404.016399
2025-06-22 17.436447 43.002726 81.395149 137.194750 211.324545 302.434304 419.207152
2025-06-29 15.662412 40.816216 79.459615 136.375564 212.660020 306.996403 428.463951
2025-07-06 13.540354 37.821225 76.183375 133.592434 211.344606 308.188644 433.553242
2025-07-13 13.270791 38.135556 77.864804 137.693921 219.053257 320.671342 452.486048
2025-07-20 12.638765 37.727271 78.415437 140.192787 224.644523 330.502512 468.179380
2025-07-27 11.325900 35.912215 76.722064 139.465536 225.923070 334.878095 477.141835